This is a high-level roadmap of the technical aspects of how strong germline engineering technology can be developed for humans. I’ll start with a quick introduction, but you can also skip down and play with the roadmap.
The idea of germline engineering is:
Make a healthy baby who has a genome that the parents nudged in some directions they’ve chosen.
How can we do this? There are three basic elements:
All three steps are important, and there’s lots more work to be done on them. But if there is one bottleneck to strong germline engineering, it’s actually the third step: making a healthy baby from a given cell.
That’s not too hard if you already have a normal healthy embryo. You just let it grow and then implant it. Thus, there are already several companies that offer genomic screening for embryos:
That’s genuine germline engineering, in the broad sense, and it can already have some quite beneficial effects by avoiding high risks of many diseases. However, due to Reasons, the strength of simple embryo selection is limited:
How do we get stronger germline engineering? We have to actively change the DNA, and then we have to make a healthy baby from the cell. And to make a healthy baby, the cell has to have the right epigenomic state for healthy embryonic development.
What does that mean? Different cells have different epigenomic states. The cells in your liver or skin, your brain cells, the stem cells in your immune system—they’re all different from each other in terms of their shape, and what proteins they produce, and how they move around, and what chemical reactions they do. The underlying reason for all those differences is that the DNA inside the nucleus of each cell produces different amounts of different RNAs. These RNAs, and the proteins that many of them are translated into, are what do the work of constructing and operating the cell and its particular functions.
And yet, all these cells have basically identical genomes; their complement of DNA is the same. So it’s not differences in the DNA itself that make different cells produce different RNAs.
Instead, the main reason is epigenetic marks: chemical modifications to DNA and histones. (Histones are proteins that DNA wraps around.) These epigenetic marks persist for days, months, or years on cellular DNA. The marks control how much each gene is expressed by giving directions, so to speak, to transcription machinery in the cell, like “this gene I’m attached to, transcribe it into RNA a lot!” or “this gene I’m attached to, stay away from it for now!”. (Levels of gene expression in a cell are also affected by how packed up the cell’s DNA is, and which transcription factors are floating around in the cell. These gene regulation mechanisms are themselves largely controlled by epigenetic marks. Besides epigenetic marks within the cell, signaling molecules coming in from other cells also sometimes control the cell’s gene expression.)
(Diagram from Gilchrist, Daniel A. ‘Histone’. Accessed 3 April 2025. https://www.genome.gov/genetics-glossary/histone.)
To make a healthy baby from a cell, the cell has to have the right epigenomic state. Natural sperm DNA has a specific epigenomic state; natural oocyte (egg) DNA has a specific epigenomic state; and these combine to produce a specific epigenomic state in the embryo. That specific epigenomic state makes the cells in the early embryo produce a whole bunch of RNAs in a specific pattern, in order to quickly grow the baby, both in size and in terms of all the different kinds of tissue organized in the typical healthy baby configuration. If, hypothetically, you tried to make a baby from a cell that’s not in the right epigenomic state, then probably what would happen is, usually the embryo just dies, occasionally you get a baby, and often you get a deformed baby. So don’t do that.
If we want to make a cell with a genome that’s been nudged, and then make a healthy baby, we therefore have to understand what the normal healthy epigenomic state of a sperm / egg / embryo is supposed to be, and we have to make our cell have the right epigenomic state. This is the biggest bottleneck to strong germline engineering.
The whole problem of germline engineering can be broken down like this: You have to know and make the target genomic and epigenomic states in your cell.
How do we actually do this? The visual roadmap below gives a broad outline of how science and biotech research could go, building up to the full technology of strong germline engineering in humans. It’s organized like a plan: time flows downward, with higher nodes unlocking the lower nodes that they point to. The red regions in the left half of the roadmap address the problem of epigenomic correctness (knowing and making the right epigenomic state), corresponding to the lower row in the above 2-by-2 scheme. The blue regions in the right half of the roadmap address the problem of genomic vectoring (knowing and making your target genomic state), corresponding to the upper row in the 2-by-2 scheme.
Most nodes in the roadmap represent open questions, achievements that haven’t been reached, and projects that haven’t been done. (Some exceptions: There’s substantial progress on polygenic scores to predict traits from genomes; there’s lots of research using CRISPR to edit DNA; and there’s some progress in epigenomic correction in mice.)
Much more detail, as well as sources for many of the images used below, can be found in my book “Methods for strong human germline engineering”.
Enjoy!
Usage:
Drag the screen to see the whole diagram if your screen isn’t big enough. Nodes have popups explaining a bit more; the focused node will have a border highlight.
On a real computer: click to drag; hover over a node to see the popup; mouse off the popup or double click or press escape to hide that popup (another might open); zoom the webpage if needed.
On mobile: tap a node to see the popup; tap off the popup or double tap to hide it; pinch and zoom if needed; press to drag.
Embryo screening is already doable, but it's a fairly weak GV method.
Gamete selection—selecting the highest-scoring sperm and eggs—would be a bit more powerful; perhaps 1.4 times as powerful. But it's probably not feasible before stronger methods, and it's also not a strong GV method. Strong GV matters. The strong GV methods are: chromosome selection, iterated CRISPR editing, iterated recombinant selection, and whole genome synthesis.
(Diagram from https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Long_Overlap_Assembly.png.)
However, there's no clean separation between GV and EC; see the section “How GV and EC interact”. Therefore, the GV method has to be tested in combination with an EC method. Even if the EC method ought to be independent of the GV method, they still have to be tested together. For example, many GV methods would stress the stem cells being manipulated. Stressed cells could respond differently to the EC method.
To know what genes to vector toward, we have to understand the relationship between genetic variants and traits of interest such as disease risk and cognitive capabilities. There's been a lot of research into these questions over the past two decades, with partial but substantive success, so this step is not a bottleneck for strong germline engineering.
To make a healthy baby from a cell, the cell has to have the right epigenomic state for embryonic develeopment. Epigenetic marks on and around DNA help control which genes are expressed. Natural reproductive cells, namely eggs, sperm, and zygotes, have specific epigenomic states that we'd have to duplicate. If you tried to make a baby from a cell with the wrong epigenomic state, you'd run a large risk of making a baby with major developmental problems. To address the epigenomic problem, we have to both understand what the correct states look like, and also be able to maintain or create the correct states in vitro. This is the main bottleneck to strong germline engineering. See the section “Reproductive GV and epigenomic correctness”.
To make a cell that's epigenomically correct, the main ways are to either recapitulate natural gametogenesis in vitro, or to somehow piggyback off of natural reproduction. Natural gametogenesis is complex:
Making an EC cell is the hard part of germline engineering. A haploid epigenomic correction method can make a haploid cell that's like a sperm, or that's like an egg. A diploid correction method can do both, or can directly make a diploic cell that's like a zygote. A diploid EC method would give twice as much genomic vectoring power as a haploid method.
To develop EC methods that involve artificially steering the cell through epigenomic states, it would be helpful to understand how natural germline cells move through epigenomic states. To get that understanding, we need good atlases of epigenomic states in cells from different stages and tissues in natural primate reproduction.
See the section “In vitro spermatogenesis”.
(Diagram from MacCarthy, Caitlin M., Guangming Wu, Vikas Malik, Yotam Menuchin-Lasowski, Taras Velychko, Gal Keshet, Rui Fan, et al. ‘Highly Cooperative Chimeric Super-SOX Induces Naive Pluripotency across Species’. Cell Stem Cell 31, no. 1 (4 January 2024): 127-147.e9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.stem.2023.11.010.)
A crucial element of addressing the epigenomic correctness problem is understanding what epigenomic changes happen during natural reproduction, in the first place.
Germline cells, destined to become eggs or sperm, are widely reprogrammed during fetal development, wiping the slate clean. Then they're reprogrammed more, both genome-wide and also in some sex-specific regions.
The sex-specific epigenetic imprints are especially important for healthy development. But it's not fully understood how germline cells differentiate, which exact imprints are necessary for development, and what epigenomic states are normal and healthy in a developing embryo.